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Dribble Europa League July 29th
for some reason i cannot log on here unless i use a proxy...i don't know if there is anything jedini can do about it and i never mind using proxy since i get kicked out of stuff now and then...
it just took me a few days to figure out to try via proxy...any case - not much time and i see the odds are now out of whack but i did take so far today:
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Dnepr-Transmash v Banik Ostrava
Banik Ostrava 2.20 - 0.80 to win 1 unit
Banik coming off a nice 1-1 draw vs Slavia Prague in the Czech league and last round crushed Georgian WIT 6-0 on the road. I do use the UEFA co-efficent a little too much at times but Czech league football ranks 11th and Belarus 34th...and if Dnepr can only manage home draws vs a Norway club certainly a Czech club, and one hunger for Europe results no doubt, can win away. The advantage, other than being home, for Dnepr is they are in the middle of the season as oppose to Banik that is 2 games in. Yet in 19 games, Dnepr are only 6-4-9 and 4-2-4 at home. And the current top 3 in Belarus BATE, Shakhter Soligorsk and FC minsk have all recent beaten Dnepr on the road. So if top Belarus clubs can win on the road, certainly a top Czech team can. Of course, 1st leg and draw chance always there so the -0.25 is a safer play but it doesnt pay above +100...
Ruch Chorzow v FK Austria Wien
Austria Vienna 2.20 - 0.80 to win 1 unit
no doubt vienna would take a draw to go home, but Polish football is a pretty sad display at this moment and this Ruch Chorzow side struggled to qualify vs Valletta and Shakhtyor Karagandy. I think Austria Vienna underestimated their opponents with a 2-2 home draw but came back strong with a 1-0 road win to advance. Certainly Ruch will not be underestimated, and if Vienna want a non-draw result they will go for it. Another game that the -0.25 is smarter bet but i am hoping to hit one of two road teams and maybe if we are lucky both.
FC Inter Turku v Racing Genk
FC Inter Turku Draw No Bet aka pick 2.62 - 0.62 to win 1 unit
basically i wrote that teams not named Standard Leige or Andrelecht struggle in Europe and Genk only qualified in Europa because of a bizarre playoff system and actually finished 11th in the Jupiler. Inter playing well at home of recent and can definitely win here...perhaps a draw as Genk won't risk too much but the odds are far too high not to take a chance on. Belgium soccer isn't really that strong despite a little success in Europe for Leige and Andrelecht.
---oh and i only take bets above 2.00 now - new new new way of betting for me.
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Since August 1st, 2010
96-91-17 +10.57 units
September: 5-7-3 -3.39
2009-10: 362-356-84 +18.31 units
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